COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH

OVERSIGHT DIVISION


FISCAL NOTE


L.R. No.:         4182-01

Bill No.:          HB 1598

Subject:           Drugs and Controlled Substances; Revenue Dept.; Taxation and Revenue - Sales and Use

Type:              Original

Date:               January 23, 2008





 

Bill Summary:            Would exempt sales of over-the-counter or nonprescription drugs from sales tax.


FISCAL SUMMARY


ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND

FUND AFFECTED

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

General Revenue

($8,007,000)

($8,013,000)

($8,019,000)

 

 

 

 

Total Estimated

Net Effect on

General Revenue

Fund

($8,007,000)

($8,013,000)

($8,019,000)


Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses.

This fiscal note contains 7 pages.


 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON OTHER STATE FUNDS

FUND AFFECTED

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

School District Trust

($2,669,000)

($2,671,000)

($2,673,000)

Conservation Commission 

($334,000)

($334,000)

($334,000)

Parks, and Soil and Water

($267,000)

($267,000)

($267,000)

Total Estimated

Net Effect on Other

State Funds

($3,270,000)

($3,272,000)

($3,274,000)



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS

FUND AFFECTED

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

Federal Funds

$0

$0

$0




ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FULL TIME EQUIVALENT (FTE)

FUND AFFECTED

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Estimated

Net Effect on

FTE

0

0

0


Estimated Total Net Effect on All funds expected to exceed $100,000 savings or (cost).


Estimated Net Effect on General Revenue Fund expected to exceed $100,000 (cost).


ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS

FUND AFFECTED

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

Local Government

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)








FISCAL ANALYSIS


ASSUMPTION


Officials from the Department of Revenue, and the Department of Insurance, Financial Institutions, and Professional Registration, Division of Professional Registration, on behalf of the Board of Pharmacy assume this proposal would have no fiscal impact on their organization.


Officials from the Office of Administration, Division of Budget and Planning did not respond to our request for information.


Oversight has obtained estimated annual nonprescription drug sales from industry reports; US sales were $14.1 billion for 2004, $15 billion for 2005, and $15.4 billion for 2006. Sales increased an average of 0.7% per year over the most recent five years. Assuming that Missouri represents approximately 1.7% of national sales and that average annual sales increased at the same rate for 2007, 2008, and 2009, Missouri sales would be as follows:


2006 estimated US sales $1.54 billion x 100.07% = $15.5 billion estimated 2007 US sales

2007 estimated US sales $15.5 billion x 100.07% = $15.6 billion estimated 2008 US sales

2008 estimated US sales $15.6 billion x 100.07% = $15.7 billion estimated 2009 US sales

 

Estimated 2009 Missouri sales = $15.7 billion x 1.7% =                   $266,900,000

Estimated 2010 Missouri sales = $266.9 million x 100.07% =          $267,100,000

Estimated 2011 Missouri sales = $267.1 million x 100.07% =          $267,300,000


Estimated sales tax revenue reductions for state funds would be as follows.


ASSUMPTION (continued) 


            Tax

Rate

2009

Taxes

2010 Taxes

2011

Taxes

            Fund

 

 

 

 

 

 

General Sales and Use

3%

$8,007,000

$8,013,000

$8,019,000

General Revenue

Education Sales and Use

1%

$2,669,000

$2,671,000

$2,673,000

School District Trust

Conservation

0.125%

$334,000

$334,000

$334,000

Conservation Commission

Parks, Soils, and Water

0.1%

$267,000

$267,000

$267,000

Parks (50%) Soil and Water (50%)

Total

4.225%

$11,277,000

$11,285,000

$11,293,000

 


Oversight assumes that local governments would have sales tax revenue reductions in excess of $100,000 per year if this proposal was implemented.


This proposal could reduce total state revenues.




FISCAL IMPACT - State Government

FY 2009

(10 Mo.)

FY 2010

FY 2011

GENERAL REVENUE FUND

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue reduction - sales tax exemption

($8,007,000)

($8,013,000)

($8,019,000)

 

 

 

 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND 

($8,007,000)


($8,013,000)


($8,019,000)

 

 

 

 

SCHOOL DISTRICT TRUST FUND

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue reduction - sales tax exemption

($2,669,000)

($2,671,000)

($2,673,000)

 

 

 

 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON SCHOOL DISTRICT TRUST FUND


($2,669,000)


($2,671,000)


($2,673,000)

 

 

 

 

CONSERVATION COMMISSION FUND

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue reduction - sales tax exemption

($334,000)

($334,000)

($334,000)

 

 

 

 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON CONSERVATION COMMISSION FUND



($334,000)



($334,000)



($334,000)

 

 

 

 

PARKS, AND SOIL AND WATER FUNDS

 

 

 

  

 

 

 

Revenue reduction - sales tax exemption

($267,000)

($267,000)

($267,000)

 

 

 

 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON PARKS, AND SOIL AND WATER FUNDS



($267,000)



($267,000)



($267,000)

 

 

 

 







FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government

FY 2009

(10 Mo.)

FY 2010

FY 2011

LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue reduction - sales tax exemption

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)

 

 

 

 

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)

(More than $100,000)


FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business


No direct fiscal impact to small businesses would be expected as a result of this proposal.



FISCAL DESCRIPTION


The proposed legislation appears to have no fiscal impact.


This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.


SOURCES OF INFORMATION 


Department of Revenue

Department of Insurance, Financial Institutions,

and Professional Registration

            Division of Professional Registration,

            on behalf of the Board of Pharmacy


NOT RESPONDING


Office of Administration

            Division of Budget and Planning


                                                                                                Mickey Wilson, CPA

                                                                                                Director

                                                                                                January 23, 2008